Sawyer Weather Advisory
INCREASED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma.
DAY ONE
This Evening and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK
Limited. AREA
Northwest of Interstate 44 in Northeast Oklahoma. ONSET
After 3 AM. DISCUSSION
A low chance of showers and thunderstorms remain near and ahead of a slow- moving cold front across parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas this evening. The better chance for thunderstorm development holds off until near daybreak Wednesday morning across northeast Oklahoma. Instability and shear parameters favor a threat for large hail with the strongest storms, most likely during the early morning hours on Wednesday. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN
Wednesday through Monday. WEDNESDAY
Severe Thunderstorm Potential
High Wind Potential
Heavy Rain Potential. THURSDAY
Thunderstorm Potential
High Wind Potential. FRIDAY
Severe Thunderstorm Potential
High Wind Potential
Heavy Rain Potential. SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION
Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing Wednesday morning across areas along and north of Interstate 40, with a threat for large hail continuing. Additional thunderstorm development is expected during the afternoon and evening Wednesday, focused across parts of southeast Oklahoma northeastward into northwest Arkansas. These storms will have a potential to be strong to severe, with large hail and damaging winds being the primary hazards. A low tornado threat may develop across parts of western Arkansas into far southeast Oklahoma Wednesday afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rain may also become a concern on Wednesday, although widespread flash flooding is not expected. Showers and thunderstorms will continue into Thursday morning, with a decrease in coverage during the afternoon hours. Another round of thunderstorms remains expected late Thursday night and into Friday morning, focused across parts of eastern Oklahoma. Friday afternoon and into Friday night should feature the highest threat for severe weather, with potential for large hail, damaging wind and a few tornadoes. Locally heavy rain will be possible again on Friday and into Friday night as well. Continue to monitor forecasts through this week and have a severe weather plan ready to go. A low severe weather threat may extend into Saturday morning before a cold front fully shifts south of the area. Low to medium thunderstorm chances and continued warm conditions will continue Sunday and into Monday. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
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