Tuba City, AZ Weather Warnings

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Tuba City Weather Advisories

FLOOD WARNING
Issue Date: 835 PM MST Sun Nov 1 2026

FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST MONDAY
WHAT
Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.
WHERE
Oak Creek in Coconino and Yavapai counties
WHEN
Until noon MST Monday.
IMPACTS
Roads are closed and impassable due to flooding. Deadly flooding over low-water crossings.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS
- At 834 PM MST, water levels along Oak Creek have fallen, but remain at action stage in Sedona and above moderate flood stage in Cornville. Additional rises will be possible overnight given the additional rainfall upstream. Flooding is already occurring in the warned area. - This includes the following creeks, washes and rivers
Oak Creek. - - For Oak Creek at Sedona: At 7:45pm the stage was 12.88 feet. Flood Stage is 14.0 feet. Forecast: A crest is expected late tonight, falling below action stage by Monday morning. Impacts: At 5.0 feet: Multiple private low water crossings and bridges over Oak Creek above Sedona become impassable. At 7.0 feet: Likely to cause minor flooding downstream in Page Springs area near stream gage OACA3 4 to 6 hours later. At 13.0 feet: Stream reaches terrace under Tlaquepaque bridge. Low water crossings closed. - For Oak Creek at Cornville: At 8:00pm the stage was 16.93 feet. Flood Stage is 8.0 feet. Forecast: A crest is expected late tonight, falling below flood stage late Monday morning. Impacts: At 7.0 feet: Flooding begins to inundate lower terrace of RV park upstream of Page Springs Road Bridge. At 8.0 feet: Flooding of lower terrace of RV park upstream of Page Springs Road Bridge. At 9.0 feet: Hiking trails along banks of creek affected. Portions of residential yards flooded. At 12.0 feet: Significant flooding of RV park near Page Springs Rd. At 17.0 feet: Inundation begins to affect fish hatchery across from gauge site. - Some locations that will experience flooding include
Sedona, Cornville, Jordan, Page Springs, Indian Gardens, Pine Flats, Uptown Sedona, Sedona Airport, Red Rock State Park, Slide Rock State Park, West Fork of Oak Creek, Cathedral Rock and Oak Creek Vista Overlook. - This includes the following highways
State Route 179 between mile markers 310 and 313. State Route 89A between mile markers 374 and 393. This includes the following recreation areas andcampgrounds
Manzanita Campground, Pine Flat Campground, Cave Springs Campground and Windmill Park. This includes the following swimming holes
Pumphouse Wash, Slide Rock, Encinoso, Grasshopper Point, Midgely Bridge, Buddha Beach inchesRed Rock Crossing inches, Crescent Moon Ranch and Mormons Crossing. - Additional information is available at weather.gov/flagstaff.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life. Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of flooding. Stay away or be swept away! The banks of creeks and washes are unstable and unsafe during any flooding event. Low water crossings will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route. && LAT
LON 3482 11177 3478 11187 3472 11190 3468 11189 3467 11193 3470 11194 3479 11192 3481 11190 3483 11183 3489 11175 3492 11175 3495 11177 3508 11173 3510 11171 3508 11169 3507 11171 3504 11171 3495 11174 3491 11171 3489 11172

FLOOD WATCH
Issue Date: 704 AM MST Sun Nov 1 2026

FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
WHAT
Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall over saturated soils.
WHERE
All of northern and central Arizona.
WHEN
Through late tonight.
IMPACTS
Flash flooding will be possible in creeks, normally dry washes, swimming holes, and over recently burned areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded.
ADDITIONAL DETAILS
- Rain and isolated thunderstorms are expected Saturday night through the early morning hours of Monday. An additional 1 to 4 inches of rain will be possible, on already saturated ground. - Additional information is available at weather.gov/flagstaff.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
Have a way to receive Flash Flood Warnings and be prepared to take action should warnings be issued. Consider changing your plans if you were going to hike, boat, or paddleboard to a slot canyon or normally dry wash. If you do still decide to recreate, check in at a nearby visitor center or ranger station. &&

WIND ADVISORY
Issue Date: 931 PM MST Sat Oct 31 2026

WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 11 PM MST SUNDAY
WHAT
Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.
WHERE
Little Colorado River Valley, Eastern Mogollon Rim, and White Mountains.
WHEN
From 8 AM to 11 PM MST Sunday.
IMPACTS
Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles, such as RVs, campers, and tractor trailers. Use extra caution. Secure loose outdoor objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. &&

Tuba City, AZ Weather Warnings, Advisories and Alerts are issued by the National Weather Service.
E-mail these weather warnings to yourself, family or friends!

Weather Warnings Explained

National Weather Service criteria for issuing Watches / Warnings / Advisories:

  • Watches: 50% confidence of meeting Warning criteria (generally within 36-48+ hours).
  • Advisories and Warnings: 80% confidence in the event occurrence (generally within 24-36 hours).

Weather Warnings Glossary


A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is issued when severe thunderstorms are possible in and near the watch area. It does not mean that they will occur. It only means they are possible.

Severe thunderstorms are defined as follows:

1) Winds of 58 mph/93 km/h or higher

AND/OR

2) Hail 1 inch/2.54 cm in diameter or larger.

A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is issued when severe thunderstorms are occurring or imminent in the warning area.

Severe thunderstorms are defined as follows:

1) Winds of 58 mph/93 km/h or higher

AND/OR

2) Hail 1 inch/2.54 cm in diameter or larger.

Thunderstorms with wind gusts greater than or equal to 58 mph/93 km/h (50 kts) and/or hail greater than or equal to 1 inch/2.54 cm in diameter and/or a tornado.

A Tornado Watch is issued when severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible in and near the watch area. It does not mean that they will occur. It only means they are possible.

Severe thunderstorms are defined as follows:

1) Winds of 58 mph/93 km/h or higher

AND/OR

2) Hail 1 in/2.54 cm in diameter or larger.

Likelihood of a tornado within the given area based on radar or actual sighting; usually accompanied by conditions indicated above for "Severe Thunderstorm Warning".

A Tornado Warning is issued when a tornado is imminent. When a tornado warning is issued, seek safe shelter immediately.

When any of the following is expected within the next 12 to 36 hours.

More than one predominant hazard.

  • Winter weather event having more than one predominant hazard {ie. heavy snow and blowing snow (below blizzard conditions), snow and ice, snow and sleet, sleet and ice, or snow, sleet and ice} meeting or exceeding warning criteria for at least one of the precipitation elements.
Snow, Ocean Effect Snow, or Sleet.

A Blizzard Warning means that the following conditions are occurring or expected within the next 12 to 18 hours.
1) Snow and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to ¼ mile/.4 km or less for 3 hours or longer
AND
2)  Sustained winds of 35 mph/56 km/h or greater or frequent gusts to 35 mph/56 km/h or greater.
There is no temperature requirement that must be met to achieve blizzard conditions.

½ inch/1.27 cm or greater accretion of freezing rain in any zone.

When any of the following is expected within the next 12 to 24 hours.

More than one predominant hazard.

Winter weather event having more than one predominant hazard (i.e., snow and ice, snow and sleet, or snow, ice & sleet) meeting or exceeding advisory criteria for at least one of the precipitation elements, but remaining below warning criteria.

  • Snow, Ocean Effect Snow, and/or Sleet
    3 inches/7.6 cm averaged over a forecast zone in 12 hours.
  • Snow and Blowing Snow
    Sustained or frequent gusts of 25 to 34 mph/40 to 54 km/h accompanied by falling and blowing snow occasionally reducing visibility to less than or equal to ¼ mi/.4 km for less than 3 hours.
  • Widespread or localized blowing snow reducing visibility to less than or equal to ¼ mi/.4 km with winds less than 35 mph/56 km/h.
  • Freezing Rain
    Any accretion of freezing rain or freezing drizzle on road surfaces.
  • Black Ice
    A Special Weather Statement will usually be issued when sufficient moisture is expected to cause a thin layer of ice on road surfaces, typically on cloudless nights ("black ice"). At forecaster discretion a formal Winter Weather Advisory may be issued instead.

Sustained winds greater than or equal to 74 mph/120 km/h (greater than or equal to 64 kts) (no gust criteria) associated with a hurricane expected to affect a coastal or inland zone within 36 hours.

Sustained winds 39-73 mph/62-117 km/h (34-63 kts) (no gust criteria) associated with a tropical storm expected to affect a coastal or inland zone within 36 hours.

Short-fused warning for onset of extreme winds, defined as sustained at 111+ mph/178+ km/h (equivalent to a Category 3+ hurricane).
This is typically used for the approach of the eyewall of a major landfalling hurricane.

When the danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 36 hours, is in association with a tropical, subtropical, or post-tropical cyclone.

Rapid and extreme flow of high water into a normally dry area, or a rapid water level rise in a stream or creek above a predetermined flood level, beginning within a short timeframe from the onset of heavy rain.

A dam or levee failure, or water released from an ice jam is also considered.

Expected overflow or inundation by water which causes or will cause damage and/or a threat to life.

Water level at a River Forecast point along a main stem river is expected to reach or exceed flood stage.

Expected inundation by water of some low lying and poor drainage areas, resulting in a nuisance to the public but not a threat to life and property.

A Coastal Flood Warning is issued when moderate to major coastal flooding is occurring or imminent. This flooding will pose a serious risk to life and property.

Minor coastal flooding expected. Examples include: splashover that causes a few roads to be briefly impassable, standing water in parking lots, etc.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is issued when minor or nuisance coastal flooding is occurring or imminent.

Sustained winds greater than or equal to 40 mph/64 km/h (greater than or equal to 35 kts) for at least 1 hour; OR any gusts greater than or equal to 58 mph/93 km/h (greater than or equal to 50 kts).

Sustained winds 31-39 mph/49-62 km/h (27-34 kts) for at least 1 hour; OR any gusts to 46-57 mph/74-91 km/h (40-49 kts).

Daytime heat indices of greater than or equal to 105°F/40°C for 2 or more hours.

Daytime heat indices of 95°F-99°F/35°C-37°C for 2 or more hours over 2 consecutive days, or 100°F-104°F/37°C-40°C for 2 or more hours over 1 day.

Issued for non-criteria warning/advisory heat. A heat wave is defined as 3 or more days of greater than or equal to 90°F/32°C temperatures.

When minimum shelter temperature drops to less than or equal to 32°F/0°C during growing season.

Issued under clear, light wind conditions with forecast minimum shelter temperature 33-36°F/0-2°C during growing season.

Wind chill index less than or equal to -25°F/-31°C for at least 3 hours using only sustained wind.

Wind chill index between -15°F/-26°C and -24°F/-31°C for at least 3 hours using only the sustained wind.

Brief/sudden occurrence of sustained wind or frequent gusts greater than or equal to 34 kts/39 mph/63 km/h, usually associated with thunderstorms, and/or hail greater than or equal to ¾ inch/1.91 cm in diameter; also issued for waterspouts.

Sustained winds or frequent gusts greater than or equal to 64 kts/74 mph/119 km/h (greater than 2 hrs) within 24 hours from a non-tropical system (marine only).

Sustained winds or frequent gusts 48-63 kts/55-72 mph/88-116 km/h (greater than 2 hrs) within 24 hours from a non-tropical system (marine only).

Sustained winds or frequent gusts 34-47 kts/39-55 mph/63-88 km/h (greater than 2 hrs) within 24 hrs from a non-tropical system (marine only).

Sustained winds or frequent gusts 25-33 kts/29-38 mph/47-61 km/h (greater than 2 hrs) AND/OR Seas greater than or equal to 5 feet/1.52 meters within 24 hours (marine only).

When high surf poses a danger to life in the form of rip currents or breaking seas. Generally issued when 7+ foot/2.3+ meters incoming seas reported at the buoys from Memorial Day through September.

When conditions yield ice accumulation rates less than 2 cm/hr ( 0.8 inch/hour). Favorable conditions for ice accumulation occur when air temperatures over the waters are less than or equal to 23°F/-5°C and sustained winds greater than or equal to 25 kts/29 mph/47 km/h and sea surface temperatures less than or equal to 43°F/6°C and seas greater than or equal to 4 feet/1.22 meters.

When conditions yield ice accumulation rates greater than or equal to 2 cm/hr ( 0.8 inch/hr ). Favorable conditions for ice accumulation occur when air temperatures over the waters are less than or equal to 23°F/-5°C and sustained winds greater than or equal to 25 kts/29 mph/47 km/h and sea surface temperatures less than or equal to 43°F/6°C and seas greater than or equal to 4 feet/1.22 meters.

High degree of confidence that dry fuels and weather conditions support extreme fire danger within 24 hours using the following criteria as a guide:

  • Winds sustained or with frequent gusts greater than or equal to 25 mph/40 km/h.
  • Relative Humidity at or below 30% anytime during the day.
  • Rainfall amounts for the previous 5 days less than ¼ inch/.64 cm (except 3 days in pre-greenup).
  • Lightning after an extended dry period.
  • Significant dry frontal passage.
  • Dry thunderstorms.
  • Keetch-Byram Drought Index values of 300 or greater (summer only).

Widespread visibility less than or equal to ¼ mile/.4 km for at least 3 hours.

Very light ice accumulation from predominantly fog at or below freezing temperatures.

Widespread or localized smoke reducing visibilities to ¼ mile/.4 km or less.

Atmospheric conditions stable enough to cause air pollutants to accumulate in a given area. Criteria developed in conjunction with the local or state EPA and the product issued at their request.

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