Weather World
Windfall Lake Weather Advisories
WEATHER ALERT
Issue Date: 839 PM AKDT Thu Oct 15 2026
HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL CREEK RISES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
An atmospheric river system will continue to bring multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall to the area, with an additional 1.5 to 2.5 inches through Thursday night. Localized higher amounts are possible due to terrain effects. Overall the moderate to heavy rainfall is expected to last into the overnight hours with little break in between. Montana Creek and Jordan Creek are expected to see minor flooding into Friday morning after these rounds of heavy rainfall. Other creeks and rivers in the Juneau area will still see rises through the night into Friday morning, however no flooding is anticipated for other streams at this time. For more information on the minor flooding expected for Montana Creek and Jordan Creek, please see the new Flood Advisory product at weather.gov/juneau and stay tuned to updates as we continue to monitor the situation.
HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL CREEK RISES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
An atmospheric river system will continue to bring multiple rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall to the area, with an additional 1.5 to 2.5 inches through Thursday night. Localized higher amounts are possible due to terrain effects. Overall the moderate to heavy rainfall is expected to last into the overnight hours with little break in between. Montana Creek and Jordan Creek are expected to see minor flooding into Friday morning after these rounds of heavy rainfall. Other creeks and rivers in the Juneau area will still see rises through the night into Friday morning, however no flooding is anticipated for other streams at this time. For more information on the minor flooding expected for Montana Creek and Jordan Creek, please see the new Flood Advisory product at weather.gov/juneau and stay tuned to updates as we continue to monitor the situation.
WEATHER ALERT
Issue Date: 835 PM AKDT Thu Oct 15 2026
FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM AKDT SATURDAY
WHAT
Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues. WHERE
Areas around Montana Creek And Jordan Creek. WHEN
Until 130 AM AKDT Saturday. IMPACTS
Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas, as well as area streams and rivers. Water over roadways. Possible isolated landslides in areas of steep terrain. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
- At 830 PM AKDT, satellite estimates indicate heavy rain across the advisory area. Rapid river rises will cause minor flooding of small streams, especially near Montana Creek And Jordan Creek. Between 0.75 and 1.25 inches of rain has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.15-0.3 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 2.5 inches are possible. - Montana Creek is anticipated to begin to fall below Minor flood stage by late Friday morning to midday, while Jordan Creek will stay above Minor flood stage a bit longer into the day, falling below Minor flood stage by Friday night. - For Jordan Creek near Juneau: At 12:00pm the stage was 7.8 feet. Flood Stage is 9.7 feet. Forecast: A crest around 9.9 feet is expected around 1:00pm Friday. Water levels will go above Minor flood stage around 8:00am. Water levels will go below Minor flood stage around 10:00pm. Impacts: At 9.2 feet: This is the stage when Jordan Creek is at bankfull and water will begin to inundate areas along the edges of the creek near Race Reality and Jordan Square. At 9.7 feet: Water will inundate the Jordan Square`s front and back parking lots, around Jordan Creek office condominiums with up to one foot of water. Some residential driveways will be flooded and cut off. - For Montana Creek at Back Loop Bridge: At 12:00pm the stage was 11.2 feet. Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. Forecast: A crest around 14.7 feet is expected around 7:00am Friday. Water levels will go above Minor flood stage around 5:00am. Water levels will go below Minor flood stage around 9:00am. Impacts: At 14.5 feet: Water begins flowing over the low water crossing on Montana Creek Road. Bankfull conditions at the gauge with water starting to inundate adjacent undeveloped fields along Mendenhall Loop Road. At 15.5 feet: Up to one half foot of water will flow over the low water crossing on Montana Creek Road after the community gardens. Water will approach and begin to inundate yards of residences along the Northwest side of Mendenhall Loop Road.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information. Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. If you live near or along Montana Creek or Jordan Creek stay alert and be prepared to take action. && LAT
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FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM AKDT SATURDAY
WHAT
Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues. WHERE
Areas around Montana Creek And Jordan Creek. WHEN
Until 130 AM AKDT Saturday. IMPACTS
Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas, as well as area streams and rivers. Water over roadways. Possible isolated landslides in areas of steep terrain. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
- At 830 PM AKDT, satellite estimates indicate heavy rain across the advisory area. Rapid river rises will cause minor flooding of small streams, especially near Montana Creek And Jordan Creek. Between 0.75 and 1.25 inches of rain has fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.15-0.3 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 2.5 inches are possible. - Montana Creek is anticipated to begin to fall below Minor flood stage by late Friday morning to midday, while Jordan Creek will stay above Minor flood stage a bit longer into the day, falling below Minor flood stage by Friday night. - For Jordan Creek near Juneau: At 12:00pm the stage was 7.8 feet. Flood Stage is 9.7 feet. Forecast: A crest around 9.9 feet is expected around 1:00pm Friday. Water levels will go above Minor flood stage around 8:00am. Water levels will go below Minor flood stage around 10:00pm. Impacts: At 9.2 feet: This is the stage when Jordan Creek is at bankfull and water will begin to inundate areas along the edges of the creek near Race Reality and Jordan Square. At 9.7 feet: Water will inundate the Jordan Square`s front and back parking lots, around Jordan Creek office condominiums with up to one foot of water. Some residential driveways will be flooded and cut off. - For Montana Creek at Back Loop Bridge: At 12:00pm the stage was 11.2 feet. Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. Forecast: A crest around 14.7 feet is expected around 7:00am Friday. Water levels will go above Minor flood stage around 5:00am. Water levels will go below Minor flood stage around 9:00am. Impacts: At 14.5 feet: Water begins flowing over the low water crossing on Montana Creek Road. Bankfull conditions at the gauge with water starting to inundate adjacent undeveloped fields along Mendenhall Loop Road. At 15.5 feet: Up to one half foot of water will flow over the low water crossing on Montana Creek Road after the community gardens. Water will approach and begin to inundate yards of residences along the Northwest side of Mendenhall Loop Road.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information. Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. If you live near or along Montana Creek or Jordan Creek stay alert and be prepared to take action. && LAT
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