John C Pace Pond One, FL Hourly Weather Updates

Key Messages

• Hot conditions continue through the weekend and into next week. Heat advisories remain in effect through late this afternoon and again Saturday afternoon for high heat indices up to 112. Additional heat advisories will likely be needed.
• A Low risk of rip currents continues through the weekend, with a Moderate risk of rip currents returning for Florida Panhandle beaches on Monday.

Discussion

... Issued at 1216 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

The ridge will continue over the area bringing very hot conditions. The 500 mb heights are around 596-598 dam with the center of the upper high just to the west putting us under very weak northerly to northwesterly flow. The area also has decent moisture with near/just above normal PWATs for this time of year with values of 1.9-2.1" through mid next week.

Isolated storms are expected with this afternoon generally along the seabreeze and further to the east where there is less subsidence. Storms become isolated to scattered each afternoon over the whole area for the rest of the weekend and into mid next week with some isolated storms over marine areas each morning. DCAPE will continue to be elevated with values of ~1000 J/kg, so any showers and thunderstorms will have the potential for stronger downburst winds in addition to heavy rainfall and lightning.

The main impact through the period is the heat. A Heat Advisory is in effect for the entire area through 8PM today and 11AM-8PM tomorrow for heat index values up to 112. The heat headlines will most likely last at least through mid next week. Daily high temperatures are in the mid to upper 90s for most inland areas and possibly reaching 100, especially in our southeast Mississippi counties. With afternoon dewpoints generally in the low to mid 70s, this brings heat indices up to 105-112 with some isolated areas briefly reaching up to 115. There continues be little overnight relief with low temperatures through mid next week only reaching down to the mid 70s inland and the upper 70s to near 80 along the coast. Anybody outdoors should drink plenty of water, take breaks in A/C when possible, and monitor for signs of heat illness.

...BEACH FORECAST...

The rip current risk will be low through the weekend. Onshore flow ramps up the beginning of next week and will increase the rip current risk to a moderate, particularly for Florida beaches beginning Monday. Outside of any storms, surf heights remain generally 1-2 feet through mid next week.

SS/97

Aviation

... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 638 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF cycle. A few storms will linger into the early evening hours before dwindling with the loss of daytime heating, but should avoid the terminals. Another round of isolated to scattered storms is expected tomorrow afternoon, especially along the coastline. Expect brief reductions in ceilings and visibilites near any storms, along with gusty, erratic winds. 07/mb

Watches / Warnings / Advisories

/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for ALZ051>060- 261>266.

FL...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for FLZ201>206.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078- 079.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM CDT Saturday for MSZ067-075-076- 078-079.

GM...None.