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Atlantic Tropical Discussion - Time in UTC:
Latest Atlantic Tropical Report
Expires:No;;752911 AXNT20 KNHC 150002 TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0005 UTC Mon Apr 15 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2350 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...


...CARIBBEAN SEA GALE-FORCE WARNING...
Near gale-force to gale-force NE winds, and rough seas of 8-12 ft are expected to develop over Colombia offshore waters tonight. Winds are forecast to diminish below gale-force by Mon morning, however, fresh to locally strong winds will continue in the south-central Caribbean through at least Thu. Please, read the latest High Seas Forecast, at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Sierra Leone near 07N12W to 04N18W to 03N24W. The ITCZ continues from 03N24W to 01S30W to 00N39W. Numerous moderate convection is within 180 nm off the coast of Liberia. Scattered moderate convection is from 06S to 06N between 20W and 32W, and from 03S to 06N between 36W and 50W.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure anchored by a 1023 mb high just N of Tampa Bay, Florida and its associated ridge dominate the Gulf, providing moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas basin-wide, except for NE fresh winds off the western Yucatan Peninsula into the E Bay of Campeche. For the forecast, strong winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan peninsula during the next several evenings. Otherwise, moderate to fresh winds with slight to moderate seas can be expected through Fri next week. Winds will become fresh to strong over the western Gulf on Mon night into Tue.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please, read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about a gale warning off the coast of Colombia. Strong high pressure and associated ridging extending to the northern Caribbean continue to support moderate to fresh NE to E winds basin-wide, except for fresh to strong NE winds over the south-central waters and in the Windward Passage. Seas are 5-7 ft across the region, except for rough 8-10 ft seas over the offshore waters of Colombia.

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds will prevail off the coast of Colombia, pulsing to gale-force tonight with seas to 11 ft. Fresh to occasionally strong winds will pulse in the Windward Passage, S of the Dominican Republic, and in the Lee of Cuba for the next few days. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas can be expected across much of the basin through the middle of the week.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N58W SW to eastern Cuba. Moderate NE winds follow the front and cover the offshore waters E of the Bahamas, increasing to fresh speeds in the Great Bahama Bank and the Caribbean approaches. N of the Bahamas winds are light to gentle under the influence of a high pressure just SW of Bermuda. Over the E subtropical Atlantic, a broad low pressure centered just N of 30N continue to generate fresh to strong W to NW winds N of 25N between 31W and 41W and moderate to fresh S to SW winds E of the low. Long period NE swell associated with this system also continue to support rough to very rough seas in the 8 to 15 ft range, highest N of 24N between 32W and 44W. However, rough seas of 8-10 ft spread SW and reach the SE offshore waters or Puerto Rico and the Leeward Islands adjacent waters.

For the forecast W of 55W, the cold front will stall and gradually dissipate through Mon. Large N-NE swell across the SE waters will linger through early this week. High pressure will build in the wake of the front early in the week with more tranquil marine conditions expected. $$ Ramos

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